The Taming of Chance: 17 (Ideas in Context, Series Number 17) Paperback – 1 Nov. 1990
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The Taming of Chance: 17 (Ideas in Context, Series Number 17) Paperback – 1 Nov. 1990

معرّف المنتج: 323772513
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P**S

How statisticians sought to restrain the anarchy of chance

In this book Ian Hacking considers the ways in which the scientific understanding of chance was modified over the course of the nineteenth century. Setting out from an essentially Enlightenment perspective in which the appearance of chance might be explained away as an illusion - the product merely of inadequate information concerning causes - Hacking reveals how chance was 'tamed' by statisticians and mathematicians, who argued that chance was both a real phenomenon and law-like in its operations, albeit in ways that could be seen only when great masses of data were analysed and the perspective of the individual event - and the individual - abandoned.One of the strengths of the book is that Hacking draws on the methods of Foucault to reveal how these developments were rooted in the practical problems and prejudices of the societies in which they were produced. Control of chance meant control of the apparently lawless, in both the physical and social senses of the term; the reduction of chaos to order. There is a great deal of fascinating material here on the differences in emphasis of the different national schools in statistics, and Hacking works hard to demonstrate how these seemingly abstract matters were linked directly to some of the most contentious issues of the day: the question of the degeneration of populations; the possibly innate criminality of criminals; the possibility of improving the 'average man'; and above all the question of free will and determinism. Ironically, it was at the end of this period that developments in particle physics began fundamentally to undermine the idea that chance could ever be permanently tamed.It's probably best to underline what 'The Taming of Chance' is not. It is not the place to begin with Ian Hacking, or with the history of statistics and probability. It is not a systematic exposition of the principles of statistics or probability theory. It is not a comprehensive historical survey of developments in these areas during the nineteenth century. The reader interested in these subjects - particularly the reader who possesses little familiarity with the basic concepts - needs to look elsewhere. Readers uncomfortable with philosophical discussion may struggle with the denser sections - particularly the concluding chapter on C. S. Peirce. But for the reader interested in intellectual history, in the growth of what we might call the 'statistical mindset' that has since become pervasive in our societies, and in the perennial relationship between power and knowledge, there is a great deal here to ponder.

R**D

Good

An interesting take on how our world is ruled by a belief in randomness and the sciences that have developed in order to manage it. Primarily historical and philosophical in its treatment of the topic, it might have developed the political implications a little further, especially the collusion between science and government in the realm of statistical practice.

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